Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. 80 opinions, 91% No
- Yes — 9%
- No — 91%
Deadline: November 4, 2026 at 04:59 AM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 91% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 9 points, a wrong one costs about 91.