Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state formally ban Kalshi or Polymarket by the end of 2026?
After a federal appeals decision on 08/28/2026, U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
After a federal appeals decision on 08/28/2026, U.S. states gained judicial support to regulate prediction markets as gambling, paving the way for potential bans.
Source: www.gulfcoastnewsnow.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se qualquer estado dos EUA promulgar lei ou regulamento em vigor que proíba explicitamente operações do Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/12/2026, conforme diário oficial estadual ou comunicado regulatório oficial. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.