Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Polymarket and Kalshi exceed $25 billion in any month of the fourth quarter of 2026?
The combined monthly volume of prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi jumped from $1.2 billion in early 2025 to over $20… 35 opinions, 63% Yes
- Yes — 63%
- No — 37%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
The combined monthly volume of prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi jumped from $1.2 billion in early 2025 to over $20 billion in January 2026, representing a 400% year-over-year growth. The upward trend suggests the possibility of new records in Q4 2026.
Source: www.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer relatório oficial ou comunicado público de Polymarket e/ou Kalshi, ou cobertura jornalística de veículo financeiro reconhecido (Bloomberg, Reuters, Financial Times), confirmar volume mensal combinado acima de US$ 25 bilhões em outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.