Finance · Open for opinions
Will the New York investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket result in formal action (fine, suspension, or lawsuit) by February 2027?
In July 2026, the city of New York opened an investigation into the two leading prediction market platforms — Kalshi and Polymarket. 23 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
In July 2026, the city of New York opened an investigation into the two leading prediction market platforms — Kalshi and Polymarket. In the same period, a Washington judge ordered Kalshi to suspend most bets in the state, and the CFTC initiated an internal review of the so-called 'menti
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se autoridade regulatória ou judicial de Nova York (NY AG, DFS ou equivalente) anunciar formalmente multa, suspensão de operações ou processo judicial contra Kalshi ou Polymarket até 28/02/2027. Fonte: comunicados oficiais do governo do estado de Nova York ou registros judiciais públicos.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.