Politics · Open for opinions
Will online prediction markets be regulated by specific federal legislation in the US by March 2027?
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket gained popularity following a 2024 court victory. 42 opinions, 86% No
- Yes — 14%
- No — 86%
Deadline: March 21, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket gained popularity following a 2024 court victory. Several states, such as Missouri, are trying to curb these platforms, while the Trump administration supports them. The debate over federal regulation is heating up.
Source: www.bloomberg.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA aprovar e o presidente assinar uma lei federal que regule especificamente mercados de previsão (prediction markets) até 21/03/2027. Fonte: Diário Oficial dos EUA (Federal Register) ou comunicado oficial da Casa Branca.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 86% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 14 points, a wrong one costs about 86.