Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the greatest global liquidity in the fourth quarter of 2026?
Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC and leads among North American users, while Polymarket is cited as having the greatest global… 26 opinions, 62% Polymarket
- Kalshi — 31%
- Polymarket — 62%
- Another platform — 8%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC and leads among North American users, while Polymarket is cited as having the greatest global liquidity and activity in niche and international politics markets.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em relatório ou análise publicada por fonte jornalística reconhecida (ex.: Bloomberg, CoinDesk, Business Insider) referente ao período out-dez/2026, que aponte a plataforma com maior volume de contratos negociados. Em caso de empate ou dados inconclusivos, o mercado é anulado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.