Politics · Open for opinions
Will at least one U.S. state court issue a ruling against Kalshi or Polymarket in the lawsuits filed by states by 01/31/2027?
U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
U.S. states from different political spectrums have filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, initiating a far-reaching legal battle (source [0]).
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se ao menos um tribunal de primeira instância ou corte de apelações estadual nos EUA publicar uma decisão de mérito desfavorável a Kalshi ou Polymarket (ex.: proibição de operar, multa judicial, injunção permanente) até 31/01/2027, conforme reportado pelo New York Times ou outro veículo jornalístico de referência. Decisões provisórias/liminares não contam.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.