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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Texas pass legislation restricting the operation of prediction markets (such as Kalshi and Polymarket) before 2027?

In March 2026, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick directed the Senate State Affairs Committee to study prediction markets and possible… 21 opinions, 52% No

  • Yes — 48%
  • No — 52%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

In March 2026, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick directed the Senate State Affairs Committee to study prediction markets and possible ways to close what he calls a 'gambling loophole'. Federal courts have already blocked similar states from enforcing restrictions on Kalshi and Polymarket, creating

Source: www.foxsports.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução positiva se o governador do Texas sancionar uma lei que imponha restrições formais ao funcionamento de mercados de previsão no estado até 31/12/2026. Fonte: site oficial da Legislatura do Texas (capitol.texas.gov) e publicações do diário oficial do estado.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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Will Texas pass legislation restricting the operation of prediction… — 52% No · VoxFi