Technology · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket be among the top 10 most downloaded apps on the US App Store in October 2026?
In September 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket simultaneously reached the top 10 of the US App Store, even surpassing the NFL app,… 32 opinions, 63% Yes
- Yes — 63%
- No — 38%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 32 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket simultaneously reached the top 10 of the US App Store, even surpassing the NFL app, signaling strong audience growth in prediction markets.
Source: nexteventhorizon.substack.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se Kalshi ou Polymarket aparecerem entre os 10 primeiros na categoria geral de apps mais baixados da App Store dos EUA (listagem pública da Apple) em qualquer dia do mês de outubro de 2026, conforme publicado pela Apple ou rastreado por serviços como Sensor Tower ou data.ai. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.