Finance · Open for opinions
Will a bipartisan group of U.S. states obtain legal recognition to oversee prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket by March 2027?
A bipartisan group of state attorneys general wants to take over regulation of prediction markets, in opposition to federal… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A bipartisan group of state attorneys general wants to take over regulation of prediction markets, in opposition to federal oversight (CFTC). Rhode Island Attorney General Peter Neronha has already filed a lawsuit against Kalshi and Polymarket.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em decisão judicial final publicada (federal ou estadual) reconhecendo autoridade regulatória de ao menos um estado sobre plataformas de mercado de previsão, conforme cobertura de fonte oficial (CFTC, DOJ ou tribunal federal/estadual) até 31/03/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.