Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court formally accept the case on the legality of political prediction markets by March 2027?
Political prediction markets have reached the doorstep of the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Political prediction markets have reached the doorstep of the U.S. Supreme Court. Kalshi's political markets have been performing better than chance (78% accuracy in the last five weeks of the 2024 presidential campaign), which has fueled the regulatory debate that has now reached the judiciary.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em anúncio oficial do site da Suprema Corte dos EUA (supremecourt.gov) confirmando o certiorari ou rejeição do caso envolvendo mercados de previsão política (Kalshi ou similar) até 2027-03-01.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.