Technology · Open for opinions
Will United Launch Alliance (ULA) launch a Vulcan Centaur rocket between 09/13 and 10/31/2026?
Consider any ULA Vulcan rocket launch between 09/13 and 10/31/2026, marking the company's return to flight after months of pause due… 28 opinions, 64% Yes
- Yes — 64%
- No — 36%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider any ULA Vulcan rocket launch between 09/13 and 10/31/2026, marking the company's return to flight after months of pause due to anomalies.
Source: arstechnica.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 13/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a ULA realizar a decolagem (liftoff) de um foguete Vulcan Centaur. A confirmação oficial deve ocorrer no site ulalaunch.com ou nos perfis oficiais da ULA (X, YouTube). O 'Sim' só exige a decolagem, independentemente do sucesso orbital após a separação. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.