World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds rate at the November or December 2026 FOMC meeting?
The September 2026 FOMC minutes show that Treasury yields and market-implied Fed Funds expectations rose notably, driven by high… 79 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
The September 2026 FOMC minutes show that Treasury yields and market-implied Fed Funds expectations rose notably, driven by high inflation, resilient growth, and geopolitical developments.
Source: www.federalreserve.gov
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada no comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Resolve 'Sim' se a meta para a taxa dos Fed Funds for elevada em ao menos 0,25 ponto percentual em qualquer uma das reuniões do FOMC de novembro ou dezembro de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.