World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate at least once before the end of 2026?
The PCE inflation measure, the Fed's primary reference, remained elevated in July 2026, while the conflict with Iran pressures… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The PCE inflation measure, the Fed's primary reference, remained elevated in July 2026, while the conflict with Iran pressures energy prices, making interest rate cuts difficult.
Source: abcnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar uma redução na taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião até e incluindo dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.