World · Open for opinions
Will the US Supreme Court agree to hear the states' lawsuit against Kalshi by November 30, 2026?
Considers deliberations by the US Supreme Court on petitions from state attorneys general between 10/09 and 11/30. 79 opinions, 59% No
- Yes — 41%
- No — 59%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers deliberations by the US Supreme Court on petitions from state attorneys general between 10/09 and 11/30.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 09/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Suprema Corte dos Estados Unidos deferir petição de certiorari ou emitir ordem aceitando julgar recurso sobre competência de regulação estadual contra a Kalshi até 30/11/2026, conforme despachos no site oficial supremecourt.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.