Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Selic rate fall below 14% per year by the end of 2026?
With the Selic at 15%, the government pressures for interest rate cuts while the Central Bank signals maintaining it for a 'prolonged… 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
With the Selic at 15%, the government pressures for interest rate cuts while the Central Bank signals maintaining it for a 'prolonged period'. Senate candidates are already debating the topic in the 2026 elections.
Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Copom fixar a meta da taxa Selic abaixo de 14% ao ano em qualquer reunião cujo comunicado seja publicado até 31/12/2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Copom no site do Banco Central (bcb.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.