Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Polymarket California government market reach $60 million in volume by November 30, 2026?
Consider the evolution of traded volume in the California race between 10/19 and 11/30. 85 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the evolution of traded volume in the California race between 10/19 and 11/30.
Source: bonus.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume acumulado de negociações no mercado eleitoral do governo da Califórnia atingir ou superar US$ 60 milhões na Polymarket até 30/11/2026, conforme dados públicos na plataforma oficial da Polymarket. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.