Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil record a primary surplus for the central government in the accumulated total for 2026?
The Lula government projects a surplus of R$ 18.6 billion in 2027, but Folha/UOL points to an economic slowdown as a pressure factor… 42 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
The Lula government projects a surplus of R$ 18.6 billion in 2027, but Folha/UOL points to an economic slowdown as a pressure factor on public accounts in 2026.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no Resultado do Tesouro Nacional referente ao exercício de 2026, divulgado pelo Ministério da Fazenda. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o resultado primário do governo central for positivo (superávit) no acumulado do ano.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.