Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish new final rules for prediction markets by December 31, 2026?
In August 2026, the CFTC held an innovation meeting with prediction markets as the central theme, positioning itself as the sector's… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In August 2026, the CFTC held an innovation meeting with prediction markets as the central theme, positioning itself as the sector's main regulatory ally. Kalshi and Polymarket face restrictions in multiple states while awaiting federal clarity.
Source: www.coindesk.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register regras finais (não propostas) regulamentando mercados de previsão até 31/12/2026. Fonte: site oficial da CFTC (cftc.gov). Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.