Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at its October 2026 monetary policy meeting?
Traders are pricing in an 81% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October, according to market data from… 79 opinions, 82% Yes
- Yes — 82%
- No — 18%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Traders are pricing in an 81% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October, according to market data from October 12, 2026. The decision will take place in late October, following the release of the September CPI on Wednesday.
Source: live.euronext.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar a manutenção do intervalo da taxa dos fundos federais (federal funds rate) inalterado na reunião do FOMC de outubro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado no site do Fed (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 82% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 18 points, a wrong one costs about 82.