Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. federal government formally file an amicus curiae brief or intervene in favor of Kalshi in the lawsuit brought by New York by October 31, 2026?
The Trump administration had already supported Kalshi and Polymarket in previous legal disputes over the legality of prediction… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Trump administration had already supported Kalshi and Polymarket in previous legal disputes over the legality of prediction markets.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Departamento de Justiça dos EUA ou a CFTC protocolizarem formalmente uma petição de amicus curiae ou pedido de intervenção em apoio à Kalshi nos autos da ação de Nova York, conforme registros judiciais públicos (PACER) ou comunicado oficial das agências até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.