Politics · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish definitive regulations on political event contracts by October 31, 2026?
Tracks the outcome of the CFTC's formal regulatory review on rules for political prediction markets by 10/31. 76 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Tracks the outcome of the CFTC's formal regulatory review on rules for political prediction markets by 10/31.
Source: briefs.co
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC publicar regras definitivas ou ordem final disciplinando contratos de mercados de eventos políticos no Federal Register até 31/10/2026, conforme registros oficiais da cftc.gov ou federalregister.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.