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Science · Open for opinions

Will NASA or SpaceX formally announce a crewed mission to Mars with an expected duration of at least 6 months by April 2027?

A study published in October 2026 by Northwestern Medicine and UT Southwestern followed 13 astronauts on ~6-month missions to the ISS… 87 opinions, 78% No

  • Yes — 22%
  • No — 78%

Deadline: April 30, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

A study published in October 2026 by Northwestern Medicine and UT Southwestern followed 13 astronauts on ~6-month missions to the ISS and concluded that the human heart adapts well to Martian gravity, reducing a major medical barrier for crewed missions to the red planet.

Source: www.sciencedaily.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução por anúncio oficial publicado no site nasa.gov ou spacex.com com cronograma detalhado de missão tripulada a Marte de ao menos 6 meses de duração. Declarações informais ou de executivos em entrevistas não contam.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.

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Will NASA or SpaceX formally announce a crewed mission to Mars with… — 78% No · VoxFi