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Will the IBC-Br register positive growth in Q3 2026?

The IBC-Br slowed to 0.2% in Q2 2026. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The IBC-Br slowed to 0.2% in Q2 2026. Analysts debate whether the combination of high interest rates and fiscal fragility will prevent a resumption of growth in the following months.

Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Média dos resultados mensais do Índice de Atividade Econômica do Banco Central (IBC-Br) referentes a julho, agosto e setembro de 2026, divulgados pelo Banco Central do Brasil em bcb.gov.br. Resolve 'Sim' se a variação trimestral do período for positiva; 'Não' se for zero ou negativa.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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