Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC implement final regulations specific to prediction markets in the US by March 2027?
Large operators and insider trading concerns are pressuring regulators; Fortune reporting mentions discussions involving the CFTC and… 28 opinions, 71% No
- Yes — 29%
- No — 71%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Large operators and insider trading concerns are pressuring regulators; Fortune reporting mentions discussions involving the CFTC and platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.
Source: fortune.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o CFTC publicar regras finais específicas para plataformas de mercado de previsão (como Kalshi e Polymarket) no Federal Register até 01/03/2027, conforme informações oficiais em cftc.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.