Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) for event contracts by November 30, 2026?
Consider official regulatory actions by the CFTC published between 10/08 and 11/30/2026. 79 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official regulatory actions by the CFTC published between 10/08 and 11/30/2026.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register uma proposta formal de regulamentação (NPRM) específica para enquetes de eventos até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado em cftc.gov ou federalregister.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.