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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the combined betting volume on Kalshi and Polymarket exceed US$30 billion by December 31, 2026?

According to a source published in September 2026, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from less than US$5 billion… 26 opinions, 65% Yes

  • Yes — 65%
  • No — 35%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions

Resolution rules

According to a source published in September 2026, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from less than US$5 billion to about US$24 billion in less than a year, indicating accelerated growth in the prediction markets sector.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se reportagens financeiras amplamente citadas (ex.: Bloomberg, Reuters, The Week, Rolling Stone) confirmarem que o volume acumulado conjunto das duas plataformas atingiu ou superou US$ 30 bilhões até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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