Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $30 billion accumulated by December 31, 2026?
In less than a year, the combined volume of the two largest US prediction market platforms jumped from under $5 billion to about $24… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In less than a year, the combined volume of the two largest US prediction market platforms jumped from under $5 billion to about $24 billion, showing the sector's rapid growth.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se dados públicos, relatórios oficiais das plataformas ou cobertura jornalística de veículos financeiros reconhecidos (Bloomberg, Reuters, The Block) confirmarem volume combinado acumulado de Kalshi e Polymarket superior a US$ 30 bilhões em 2026 até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.