Technology · Open for opinions
Will any other US state issue a cease-and-desist order or similar regulatory measure against prediction markets by March 2027?
Missouri pioneered by issuing cease-and-desists against Polymarket, Kalshi, Crypto.com, Novig, Underdog, and Robinhood in September… 40 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
Missouri pioneered by issuing cease-and-desists against Polymarket, Kalshi, Crypto.com, Novig, Underdog, and Robinhood in September 2026. Analysts note that the action could encourage other states to adopt a similar stance.
Source: sgfcitizen.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se ao menos um estado americano (diferente do Missouri) emitir oficialmente uma ordem de cease-and-desist, multa administrativa ou ação judicial contra operadores de mercados de previsão esportivos não licenciados, conforme comunicado oficial do respectivo gabinete jurídico estadual, até 15 de março de 2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.