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Science · Open for opinions

Will the 2026 El Niño be officially classified as the most intense ever recorded by NOAA or the WMO?

According to WIRED, the 2026 El Niño is shaping up to be the strongest ever recorded, raising expectations about official recognition… 25 opinions, 68% No

  • Yes — 32%
  • No — 68%

Deadline: March 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions

Resolution rules

According to WIRED, the 2026 El Niño is shaping up to be the strongest ever recorded, raising expectations about official recognition by the world's leading meteorological agencies.

Source: www.wired.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) ou a OMM (Organização Meteorológica Mundial) publicar relatório ou comunicado oficial classificando o evento El Niño de 2026 como o mais intenso de toda a série histórica de cada organização. Resolve 'Não' se nenhuma das agências fizer tal classificação até a data de encerramento.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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