Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's GDP grow by at least 2% in 2026, according to IBGE?
J.P. 31 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: March 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 31 opinions
Resolution rules
J.P. Morgan's baseline scenario projects 2% growth for Brazil's GDP in 2026, if the government and Central Bank manage a 'softer landing' for the economy.
Source: www.broadcast.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na taxa de crescimento anual do PIB de 2026 divulgada oficialmente pelo IBGE (Sistema de Contas Nacionais). Se o valor divulgado for igual ou superior a 2,0%, resolve como 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.