Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi's market share relative to Polymarket remain above 75% in October 2026?
August 2026 data shows that Kalshi holds 82% market share in trading volume versus Polymarket's 18%. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
August 2026 data shows that Kalshi holds 82% market share in trading volume versus Polymarket's 18%. The ongoing regulatory battle may impact this distribution in the coming months.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a participação de mercado (market share) mensal da Kalshi frente à Polymarket, medida em volume de negociação, for superior a 75% no mês de outubro de 2026, conforme dados publicados pelo DeFi Rate (defirate.com/prediction-markets/volume/polymarket/) ou fonte equivalente de dados de mercado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.