Finance · Open for opinions
Will U.S. courts issue a favorable ruling for Kalshi and Polymarket in the legal dispute over classifying prediction markets as gambling by February 2027?
The Trump administration supports Kalshi and Polymarket in a legal battle over whether prediction markets constitute gambling, in a… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 19, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Trump administration supports Kalshi and Polymarket in a legal battle over whether prediction markets constitute gambling, in a case that could define the regulatory future of the sector in the U.S.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com 'Sim' se uma decisão judicial publicada até 19/02/2027 determinar explicitamente que mercados de previsão (event contracts) não constituem jogos de azar sob a lei federal dos EUA, beneficiando Kalshi e/ou Polymarket, conforme noticiado por Reuters, Bloomberg ou AP. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.