Technology · Open for opinions
What will be the predominant level of formal AI adoption in U.S. federal courts by March 2027?
As of September 2026, analyses indicate that the use of AI in the U.S. 20 opinions, 25% Use restricted to legal research and document screening
- Use restricted to legal research and document screening — 25%
- Broad use including assistance in judicial decisions — 25%
- Uniform federal regulation approved and in effect — 25%
- No formal regulation — ad hoc use by judges — 25%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
As of September 2026, analyses indicate that the use of AI in the U.S. judiciary has advanced beyond the initial stage, with growing debate about limits and formal regulation in federal courts.
Source: professorrafaelporcari.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base em relatório oficial do Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts ou do Federal Judicial Center publicado até 01/03/2027, descrevendo o estado de adoção de IA nos tribunais federais americanos. Em caso de ausência de relatório oficial, resolvido por consenso de três fontes jornalísticas de referência (Reuters, Associated Press, Politico).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Use restricted to legal research and document screening has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.