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Will Kalshi match donations between Democrats and Republicans by November 3, 2026?

Considers donations and reports from registered electoral committees between 10/22 and 11/03 [0]. 86 opinions, 56% No

  • Yes — 44%
  • No — 56%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 86 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers donations and reports from registered electoral committees between 10/22 and 11/03 [0].

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 22/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 03/11/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se registros públicos da Federal Election Commission (FEC) ou comunicado oficial da Kalshi confirmarem divisão equilibrada (margem de até 5% de diferença) nas doações entre partidos até 03/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.

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Will Kalshi match donations between Democrats and Republicans by… — 56% No · VoxFi