Finance · Open for opinions
Will investigations into insider trading in Polymarket's military markets result in any criminal prosecution in the US by January 31, 2027?
The ACDC identified 152 accounts ('orca accounts') that bet on military markets on Polymarket with a 97.2% accuracy rate,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The ACDC identified 152 accounts ('orca accounts') that bet on military markets on Polymarket with a 97.2% accuracy rate, accumulating $8 million in gains, raising suspicions of using insider information about military operations.
Source: futurism.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Justiça dos EUA (DOJ) ou outra autoridade federal americana anunciar formalmente indiciamento ou processo criminal relacionado ao uso indevido de informações militares em apostas na Polymarket até 31/01/2027. Fonte: comunicados do DOJ (justice.gov) ou cobertura confirmada por Reuters/Bloomberg.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.