Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI announce a voluntary suspension of training new advanced models by 10/31/2026?
After AI industry leaders publicly discussed the need to slow down the pace of advancements in light of recent risks, speculation has… 37 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 37 opinions
Resolution rules
After AI industry leaders publicly discussed the need to slow down the pace of advancements in light of recent risks, speculation has arisen as to whether OpenAI will formalize a pause.
Source: www.technologyreview.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a OpenAI anunciar oficialmente uma pausa, suspensão ou adiamento voluntário no treinamento ou lançamento de seus próximos modelos fundacionais (ex.: GPT-5) até 31/10/2026. A confirmação deve ocorrer via publicação no blog da empresa (openai.com/blog) ou na conta oficial do CEO no X (@sama). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.