Politics · Open for opinions
Will Texas pass legislation restricting or banning prediction markets in the state by December 31, 2026?
In March 2026, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick directed the Senate Affairs Committee to study prediction markets and possible ways… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In March 2026, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick directed the Senate Affairs Committee to study prediction markets and possible ways to close what he calls a 'gaming loophole'. Kalshi and Polymarket have already removed advertising with gaming terminology after local pressure.
Source: www.foxsports.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o governador do Texas sancionar lei aprovada pelo Legislativo estadual que imponha restrições formais à operação de plataformas de mercados de previsão (como Kalshi e Polymarket) no estado. Fonte: registros oficiais do Legislativo do Texas (texas.gov) ou anúncio oficial do governador.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.