Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi maintain its lead over Polymarket in US trading volume until December 2026?
Kalshi raised $300 million in a recent round, doubling its valuation to $50 billion, and according to industry sources, it is… 38 opinions, 66% Yes
- Yes — 66%
- No — 34%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi raised $300 million in a recent round, doubling its valuation to $50 billion, and according to industry sources, it is surpassing Polymarket in US volume in September 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se relatórios públicos ou publicações especializadas (ex.: Reuters, Bloomberg, NY Post) confirmarem que a Kalshi registrou volume de negociações nos EUA superior ao do Polymarket no acumulado de 2026 até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.