Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to New Jersey's petition to regulate or ban prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket?
New Jersey filed a petition asking the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
New Jersey filed a petition asking the U.S. Supreme Court to halt the operation of prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. If the SCOTUS accepts, it would be a landmark ruling on federal vs. state regulation of these platforms.
Source: www.politico.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o SCOTUS emitir ordem concedendo certiorari referente ao pedido de New Jersey sobre mercados de previsão, conforme anúncio oficial do Supremo Tribunal dos EUA (supremecourt.gov). Resolve como 'Não' se o pedido for negado ou não houver decisão até a data de encerramento.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.