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Crypto · Open for opinions

Will the Clarity Act (crypto market structure bill) be passed and signed into law in the US by the end of 2026?

The Clarity Act is a crypto market structure bill currently moving through the U.S. 69 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions

Resolution rules

The Clarity Act is a crypto market structure bill currently moving through the U.S. Congress. The corresponding market on Kalshi has accumulated over $10 million in trading volume, indicating high public interest.

Source: kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Clarity Act for aprovado por ambas as casas do Congresso dos EUA e sancionado pelo presidente até 31/12/2026, conforme registros do Congress.gov ou anúncio oficial da Casa Branca. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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