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Will the Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate below 2% by December 2026?

Trump publicly pressures the Fed to cut interest rates to 1%, criticizing Chairman Kevin Warsh's decision to raise rates. 62 opinions, 92% No

  • Yes — 8%
  • No — 92%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 62 opinions

Resolution rules

Trump publicly pressures the Fed to cut interest rates to 1%, criticizing Chairman Kevin Warsh's decision to raise rates. Economists, however, point out that the conflict with Iran is fueling inflation via energy, making drastic cuts highly unlikely in the short term.

Source: www.ctvnews.ca

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa-alvo dos fed funds estiver abaixo de 2,00% ao fim da última reunião do FOMC de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 92% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 8 points, a wrong one costs about 92.

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