Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi file an appeal with the U.S. Supreme Court against the federal decision allowing states to regulate prediction markets as gambling?
On August 28, 2026, a U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
On August 28, 2026, a U.S. federal appeals court ruled that states have the right to regulate prediction markets as gambling, a decision that could affect Kalshi and Polymarket operations in several states. The legal dispute has already involved the Trump administration and sparked a battle.
Source: www.cnn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a Kalshi protocolar pedido de certiorari ou outro recurso formal na Suprema Corte dos EUA até 15 de dezembro de 2026, conforme registros judiciais públicos disponíveis no PACER ou site da Suprema Corte americana. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.