Finance · Open for opinions
Will the US federal government win the litigation to prevent states from banning the operation of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket?
The Trump administration supports Kalshi and Polymarket in legal disputes against states attempting to regulate or ban prediction… 43 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: December 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 43 opinions
Resolution rules
The Trump administration supports Kalshi and Polymarket in legal disputes against states attempting to regulate or ban prediction markets as gambling. Kalshi secured a landmark court victory in 2024.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um tribunal federal emitir decisão final ou liminar em favor de Kalshi/Polymarket contra restrições estaduais (incluindo Missouri), confirmada por cobertura de veículos de imprensa como Bloomberg, Reuters ou WSJ, até a data de fechamento.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.