Finance · Open for opinions
Will the IBC-Br (Central Bank Economic Activity Index) record positive growth in the third quarter of 2026?
The IBC-Br serves as a monthly proxy for Brazilian GDP. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The IBC-Br serves as a monthly proxy for Brazilian GDP. With the Selic at elevated levels and no clear fiscal commitment that would allow a structural decline in interest rates, analysts debate whether economic activity will be able to sustain positive growth in the second half of 2026.
Source: www.threads.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a média ou o resultado acumulado do IBC-Br divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil referente aos meses de julho, agosto e setembro de 2026 apresentar variação positiva em relação ao mesmo período de 2025. Fonte: bcb.gov.br, nota de imprensa do IBC-Br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.