Finance · Open for opinions
Will US courts recognize the CFTC's exclusive federal jurisdiction over Kalshi contracts by November 30, 2026?
State regulators and prediction platforms are locked in a jurisdictional legal battle in US courts [7]. 85 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
State regulators and prediction platforms are locked in a jurisdictional legal battle in US courts [7].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 20/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Tribunal de Apelações dos EUA julgar procedente recurso da Kalshi garantindo exclusividade da CFTC até 30/11/2026, conforme registros da corte ou Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.