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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the BRL/USD exchange rate close 2026 below R$ 5.80?

Institutional instability in the STF and the downward revision of the 2026 GDP have generated uncertainty among investors and… 37 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: January 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

Institutional instability in the STF and the downward revision of the 2026 GDP have generated uncertainty among investors and economists, with potential impact on the exchange rate. Financial markets are closely monitoring the effects of the political crisis on the real.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na taxa de câmbio PTAX de venda do dólar americano divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil no último dia útil de 2026 (31/12/2026 ou dia útil anterior). Se a PTAX de venda for inferior a R$ 5,80, resolve 'Sim'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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Will the BRL/USD exchange rate close 2026 below R$ 5.80? — 65% No · VoxFi