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Will US inflation (CPI) in October 2026 be above 3.7%?

In September 2026, US inflation accelerated to 3.7% year-over-year (compared to 3.4% in August), pressured by gasoline prices due to… 82 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions

Resolution rules

In September 2026, US inflation accelerated to 3.7% year-over-year (compared to 3.4% in August), pressured by gasoline prices due to the conflict in Iran and investments in data centers and AI. The Fed faces a dilemma regarding interest rate policy in this scenario.

Source: www.courthousenews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada no relatório do Consumer Price Index (CPI) de outubro de 2026, divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual do CPI superar 3,7%; resolve 'Não' se for igual ou inferior.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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