Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI and Anthropic publish a formal joint commitment on AI safety by October 31, 2026?
Consider announcements between 09/19 and 10/31 after Sam Altman publicly agreed with Dario Amodei on slowing down the AI frontier. 42 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider announcements between 09/19 and 10/31 after Sam Altman publicly agreed with Dario Amodei on slowing down the AI frontier.
Source: www.technologyreview.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a OpenAI e a Anthropic divulgarem formalmente uma declaração ou acordo conjunto sobre segurança ou ritmo de IA de fronteira até 31/10/2026, conforme publicado em openai.com, anthropic.com ou confirmado por Reuters, AP ou Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.