Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 83% of GDP by December 2026?
In June 2026, Brazil's gross public debt rose from R$ 10.6 trillion to R$ 10.8 trillion, equivalent to 82% of GDP, according to the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In June 2026, Brazil's gross public debt rose from R$ 10.6 trillion to R$ 10.8 trillion, equivalent to 82% of GDP, according to the Central Bank of Brazil. The upward trajectory of public debt fuels debate about fiscal sustainability.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Mercado resolvido como 'Sim' se a dívida pública bruta do Brasil, divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) na Nota de Política Fiscal, atingir ou superar 83% do PIB em qualquer mês de 2026 com dado publicado até 31/12/2026. Fonte oficial: Nota para a Imprensa de Política Fiscal do BCB.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.